Saturday, November 05, 2005
Let's get ready to RUMBLE!!!
Well, it's the weekend before the election, and I've gone into a shell, just like the campaigns.
It's all about GOTV, Get Out The Vote.
President Bush is coming to Richmond the night before the election, but I really don't think this will have any effect on the race. His approval numbers in Virginia are holding steady at about 51%. But at this rally, all of the questions by the national press (if there is actual press availability) are going to be about his very poor trip to South America. I still wouldn't be surprised if the event got cancelled at the last moment.
For the most part, the voters' minds are decided, and it all depends on the turnout. However for the Repubs, the weather is supposed to be nice, and that will not depress the Dems vote (the logic being that bad weather keeps inner city voters away from the polls).
It's prediction time, and here I go on the record.
Kaine 48.4%
Kilgore 48.1%
Potts 3.5%
Could this be wrong? Aboslutely. Republicans in Virginia almost always get more of the vote than the polls show. However, with the number of undecideds left (about 7%), and the fact that undecideds are going about 2-for-1 for Kaine, I think he'll squeak through.
Virginia Tech lost, so the SW voters will be depressed, and that leaves me to believe they will have a lower turnout than other parts of the state (farfetched idea, but hey, why not?)
After that, it's a split ticket. Byrne has shown amazing growth in the past two months, but I still don't think she beats Bolling. McDonnell wins in a wash (although I know for a fact that Creigh Deeds is a good and decent man...)
No major moves in the House of Delegates, maybe +1 for the Republicans.
But hey, we still have to vote. No matter who you support, just go vote. It's simple, and gives you a warm fuzzy feeling of social responsibility. If you don't, I don't want to hear you whining and complaining once the election's over.
It's all about GOTV, Get Out The Vote.
President Bush is coming to Richmond the night before the election, but I really don't think this will have any effect on the race. His approval numbers in Virginia are holding steady at about 51%. But at this rally, all of the questions by the national press (if there is actual press availability) are going to be about his very poor trip to South America. I still wouldn't be surprised if the event got cancelled at the last moment.
For the most part, the voters' minds are decided, and it all depends on the turnout. However for the Repubs, the weather is supposed to be nice, and that will not depress the Dems vote (the logic being that bad weather keeps inner city voters away from the polls).
It's prediction time, and here I go on the record.
Kaine 48.4%
Kilgore 48.1%
Potts 3.5%
Could this be wrong? Aboslutely. Republicans in Virginia almost always get more of the vote than the polls show. However, with the number of undecideds left (about 7%), and the fact that undecideds are going about 2-for-1 for Kaine, I think he'll squeak through.
Virginia Tech lost, so the SW voters will be depressed, and that leaves me to believe they will have a lower turnout than other parts of the state (farfetched idea, but hey, why not?)
After that, it's a split ticket. Byrne has shown amazing growth in the past two months, but I still don't think she beats Bolling. McDonnell wins in a wash (although I know for a fact that Creigh Deeds is a good and decent man...)
No major moves in the House of Delegates, maybe +1 for the Republicans.
But hey, we still have to vote. No matter who you support, just go vote. It's simple, and gives you a warm fuzzy feeling of social responsibility. If you don't, I don't want to hear you whining and complaining once the election's over.
