Not Guy Incognito

After watching this debate over, and over, and over (hey, it's an obsession and my job!) I may have been a little bit harsh on Webb. However, this debate still showed that his strategy seems flawed.

I'm not really sure exactly who he's going after. He's obviously not diametrically opposed to Allen, in fact he scarily seems like he would still be an active Republican if it weren't for the Iraq war.

To be fair, that has turned a lot of centrist voters to the Democratic side, and solidified blue-leaning votes.

Much has been made about how Virginia is turning blue, primarily because of Tim Kaine's victory last year. However, what's lost in all of this is how bad a candidate Jerry Kilgore was. It was a situation similar to Mark Earley back in 2001.

I'm not sure Webb can pull the same margin out of Northern Virginia, and I haven't seen anything that shows he will pull the same results from Tidewater and Richmond that Kaine did. The Golden Crecent won the day last year, but the rest of the Turkey on Its Back just may well rule the day on November 8th.

And I would love to be a fly on the wall when Allen and Webb sit down and have a beer together once this is all over.

PS - If you get a chance to see the debate, watch it for yourself. It's worth making up your own mind instead of listening to a bunch of partisans in the blogosphere.