Tuesday, October 24, 2006
State of the Race: Part... Whatever
Sorry for the lack of posts. Been a little busy, you know, with work and all.
There's a good reason there's been a lot of attention on the marriage amendment (Vote No!). It's pretty fair to say that the Senate race has gotten flat out boring. Allen still has his small lead, but is still polling under 50%. So, technically there's a chance for Webb, but I still think Allen pulls in 50.5 to 52.0 on election day.
We've seen the same ol' tired attack ads. Nothing positive. Nothing redeeming from either side.
There are more "scandals" that won't go anywhere, so they really aren't worth talking about.
Allen no longer feels we need to "stay the course" in Iraq, which is exactly what he had said for well over a year. Obviously he got the memo from the White House that they were rebranding the War on Terror to make it feel more warm and snuggly.
Webb still has yet to evolve into a decent politician. He still is talking like a writer (which in politics is like having a face made for radio). He let too many clear openings go by in the debate, and still has difficulty putting together some 10 second soundbites. He has yet to evolve his positions from "I'm not George Allen". This is basic campaigning he's having trouble with here.
My conclusion?
Allen will win.
But the Democrats have to be wishing they'd convinced Mark Warner to run for this seat. It would be ugly by now, and the national Republicans would have already pulled their ads to focus on Tennessee.
There's a good reason there's been a lot of attention on the marriage amendment (Vote No!). It's pretty fair to say that the Senate race has gotten flat out boring. Allen still has his small lead, but is still polling under 50%. So, technically there's a chance for Webb, but I still think Allen pulls in 50.5 to 52.0 on election day.
We've seen the same ol' tired attack ads. Nothing positive. Nothing redeeming from either side.
There are more "scandals" that won't go anywhere, so they really aren't worth talking about.
Allen no longer feels we need to "stay the course" in Iraq, which is exactly what he had said for well over a year. Obviously he got the memo from the White House that they were rebranding the War on Terror to make it feel more warm and snuggly.
Webb still has yet to evolve into a decent politician. He still is talking like a writer (which in politics is like having a face made for radio). He let too many clear openings go by in the debate, and still has difficulty putting together some 10 second soundbites. He has yet to evolve his positions from "I'm not George Allen". This is basic campaigning he's having trouble with here.
My conclusion?
Allen will win.
But the Democrats have to be wishing they'd convinced Mark Warner to run for this seat. It would be ugly by now, and the national Republicans would have already pulled their ads to focus on Tennessee.
